$ Economicsliveactive
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
Before Jan 1, 2031
YES 75%NO 25%
24h volume
0
total volume
849.05
liquidity
$0
open interest
848.68
resolution
If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
closes Wed, 01 Jan 2031 04:59:00 GMT
engine call
PASS
fair 75% vs mkt 75%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%
Neohood Engine is offline, so this shows the market-implied probability only. Configure the engine to get a calibrated fair-value estimate and edge.
key drivers
- Market-implied price
- Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
- No independent estimate available
Engine offline — showing market-implied prices only.
research, not financial advice · the Neohood Engine can be wrong · verify resolution terms before trading