$ Economicsliveactive
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
Before Jan 1, 2030
YES 12%NO 88%
24h volume
0
total volume
1.1K
liquidity
$0
open interest
808.75
resolution
If Kevin Warsh leaves as chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
closes Tue, 01 Jan 2030 04:59:00 GMT
engine call
PASS
fair 12% vs mkt 12%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%
Neohood Engine is offline, so this shows the market-implied probability only. Configure the engine to get a calibrated fair-value estimate and edge.
key drivers
- Market-implied price
- Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
- No independent estimate available
Engine offline — showing market-implied prices only.
research, not financial advice · the Neohood Engine can be wrong · verify resolution terms before trading