$ Economicsliveactive
Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?
Before Jan 1, 2028
YES 29%NO 71%
24h volume
0
total volume
3
liquidity
$0
open interest
2
resolution
If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
closes Sat, 01 Jan 2028 14:59:00 GMT
engine call
PASS
fair 29% vs mkt 29%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%
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key drivers
- Market-implied price
- Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
- No independent estimate available
Engine offline — showing market-implied prices only.
research, not financial advice · the Neohood Engine can be wrong · verify resolution terms before trading