$ Economicsliveactive
Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?
Before Jan 1, 2027
YES 20%NO 80%
24h volume
2
total volume
2
liquidity
$0
open interest
2
resolution
If the U.S. federal government has taken a stake of at least 1% in each of OpenAI and Anthropic (including any successor or parent substantially owning its AI business) before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
closes Fri, 01 Jan 2027 14:59:00 GMT
engine call
PASS
fair 20% vs mkt 20%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%
Neohood Engine is offline, so this shows the market-implied probability only. Configure the engine to get a calibrated fair-value estimate and edge.
key drivers
- Market-implied price
- Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
- No independent estimate available
Engine offline — showing market-implied prices only.
research, not financial advice · the Neohood Engine can be wrong · verify resolution terms before trading