$ Economicsliveactive
US trade deficit for 2030
Above $900 billion
YES 47%NO 53%
24h volume
0
total volume
0
liquidity
$0
open interest
0
resolution
If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2030 is strictly above $900 billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes.
closes Mon, 03 Feb 2031 13:29:00 GMT
engine call
PASS
fair 47% vs mkt 47%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%
Neohood Engine is offline, so this shows the market-implied probability only. Configure the engine to get a calibrated fair-value estimate and edge.
key drivers
- Market-implied price
- Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
- No independent estimate available
Engine offline — showing market-implied prices only.
research, not financial advice · the Neohood Engine can be wrong · verify resolution terms before trading