✎ Educationliveactive
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
Before 2030
YES 20%NO 80%
24h volume
170.9
total volume
96.6K
liquidity
$0
open interest
28.8K
resolution
If SpaceX lands anything successfully on Mars before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
closes Tue, 01 Jan 2030 15:00:00 GMT
engine call
PASS
fair 20% vs mkt 20%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%
Neohood Engine is offline, so this shows the market-implied probability only. Configure the engine to get a calibrated fair-value estimate and edge.
key drivers
- Market-implied price
- Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
- No independent estimate available
Engine offline — showing market-implied prices only.
research, not financial advice · the Neohood Engine can be wrong · verify resolution terms before trading