$ Economicsliveactive
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
OpenAI
YES 19%NO 81%
24h volume
86.11
total volume
145.8K
liquidity
$0
open interest
39.0K
resolution
If OpenAI confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
closes Sun, 01 Jan 2040 04:59:00 GMT
engine call
PASS
fair 19% vs mkt 19%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%
Neohood Engine is offline, so this shows the market-implied probability only. Configure the engine to get a calibrated fair-value estimate and edge.
key drivers
- Market-implied price
- Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
- No independent estimate available
Engine offline — showing market-implied prices only.
research, not financial advice · the Neohood Engine can be wrong · verify resolution terms before trading