$ Economicsliveactive
Who will be the world's second trillionaire?
Bernard Arnault & family
YES 8%NO 92%
24h volume
0
total volume
987.01
liquidity
$0
open interest
263
resolution
If Forbes reports that Bernard Arnault & family has become the second person in the world to reach a net worth of at least $1 trillion USD before Jan 1, 2033 then the market resolves to Yes.
closes Sat, 01 Jan 2033 15:00:00 GMT
engine call
PASS
fair 8% vs mkt 8%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%
Neohood Engine is offline, so this shows the market-implied probability only. Configure the engine to get a calibrated fair-value estimate and edge.
key drivers
- Market-implied price
- Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
- No independent estimate available
Engine offline — showing market-implied prices only.
research, not financial advice · the Neohood Engine can be wrong · verify resolution terms before trading