✎ Educationliveactive
Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
United States
YES 54%NO 46%
24h volume
39.56
total volume
77.8K
liquidity
$0
open interest
31.5K
resolution
If United States is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
closes Wed, 01 Jan 2031 15:00:00 GMT
engine call
PASS
fair 54% vs mkt 54%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%
Neohood Engine is offline, so this shows the market-implied probability only. Configure the engine to get a calibrated fair-value estimate and edge.
key drivers
- Market-implied price
- Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
- No independent estimate available
Engine offline — showing market-implied prices only.
research, not financial advice · the Neohood Engine can be wrong · verify resolution terms before trading