✎ Educationliveactive
Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
Before 2050
YES 30%NO 70%
24h volume
5.73
total volume
16.7K
liquidity
$0
open interest
6.3K
resolution
If a human lands on Mars before California starts its high speed rail service for the public before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
closes Sat, 01 Jan 2050 04:59:00 GMT
engine call
PASS
fair 30% vs mkt 30%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%
Neohood Engine is offline, so this shows the market-implied probability only. Configure the engine to get a calibrated fair-value estimate and edge.
key drivers
- Market-implied price
- Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
- No independent estimate available
Engine offline — showing market-implied prices only.
research, not financial advice · the Neohood Engine can be wrong · verify resolution terms before trading