✎ Educationliveactive
When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
Before 2030
YES 74%NO 26%
24h volume
0
total volume
1
liquidity
$0
open interest
1
resolution
If Hodge Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2030 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.
closes Mon, 07 Jan 2030 15:00:00 GMT
engine call
PASS
fair 74% vs mkt 74%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%
Neohood Engine is offline, so this shows the market-implied probability only. Configure the engine to get a calibrated fair-value estimate and edge.
key drivers
- Market-implied price
- Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
- No independent estimate available
Engine offline — showing market-implied prices only.
research, not financial advice · the Neohood Engine can be wrong · verify resolution terms before trading