$ Economicsliveactive
How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends?
At least 500 billion
YES 11%NO 89%
24h volume
0
total volume
10.4K
liquidity
$0
open interest
2.0K
resolution
If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $500 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
closes Sat, 31 Mar 2029 15:00:00 GMT
engine call
PASS
fair 11% vs mkt 11%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%
Neohood Engine is offline, so this shows the market-implied probability only. Configure the engine to get a calibrated fair-value estimate and edge.
key drivers
- Market-implied price
- Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
- No independent estimate available
Engine offline — showing market-implied prices only.
research, not financial advice · the Neohood Engine can be wrong · verify resolution terms before trading