$ Economicsliveactive
Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
Before 2029
YES 25%NO 75%
24h volume
0
total volume
26.7K
liquidity
$0
open interest
12.0K
resolution
If the value added by Manufacturing to GDP in Q4 2028 is at least 13.1% (the value it was in Q1 2005), then the market resolves to Yes.
closes Sat, 30 Jun 2029 03:59:00 GMT
engine call
PASS
fair 25% vs mkt 25%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%
Neohood Engine is offline, so this shows the market-implied probability only. Configure the engine to get a calibrated fair-value estimate and edge.
key drivers
- Market-implied price
- Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
- No independent estimate available
Engine offline — showing market-implied prices only.
research, not financial advice · the Neohood Engine can be wrong · verify resolution terms before trading