✎ Educationliveactive
Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?
Mars
YES 10%NO 90%
24h volume
5
total volume
122.9K
liquidity
$0
open interest
40.1K
resolution
If Elon Musk visits Mars before the earlier of his death or Aug 1, 2099, then the market resolves to Yes.
closes Sat, 01 Aug 2099 04:59:00 GMT
engine call
PASS
fair 10% vs mkt 10%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%
Neohood Engine is offline, so this shows the market-implied probability only. Configure the engine to get a calibrated fair-value estimate and edge.
key drivers
- Market-implied price
- Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
- No independent estimate available
Engine offline — showing market-implied prices only.
research, not financial advice · the Neohood Engine can be wrong · verify resolution terms before trading