✎ Educationliveactive
Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
Before 2050
YES 17%NO 83%
24h volume
5.95
total volume
23.0K
liquidity
$0
open interest
9.4K
resolution
If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
closes Sat, 01 Jan 2050 04:59:00 GMT
engine call
PASS
fair 17% vs mkt 17%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%
Neohood Engine is offline, so this shows the market-implied probability only. Configure the engine to get a calibrated fair-value estimate and edge.
key drivers
- Market-implied price
- Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
- No independent estimate available
Engine offline — showing market-implied prices only.
research, not financial advice · the Neohood Engine can be wrong · verify resolution terms before trading