✎ Educationliveactive
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
Before 2030
YES 59%NO 41%
24h volume
105.95
total volume
95.8K
liquidity
$0
open interest
34.5K
resolution
If Blue Origin lands an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship as well as before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
closes Tue, 01 Jan 2030 15:00:00 GMT
engine call
PASS
fair 59% vs mkt 59%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%
Neohood Engine is offline, so this shows the market-implied probability only. Configure the engine to get a calibrated fair-value estimate and edge.
key drivers
- Market-implied price
- Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
- No independent estimate available
Engine offline — showing market-implied prices only.
research, not financial advice · the Neohood Engine can be wrong · verify resolution terms before trading