◈ crypto · $ economics · ✎ education · ★ entertainment · ⚑ sports · ◎ smart-money · ☾ dormant-wake · ⛏ trenches · reading Robinhood-era prediction markets + onchain flow · research, not advice · ◈ crypto · $ economics · ✎ education · ★ entertainment · ⚑ sports · ◎ smart-money · ☾ dormant-wake · ⛏ trenches · reading Robinhood-era prediction markets + onchain flow · research, not advice ·
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markets / Education / KXBIRCHSWINN-32-30JAN01
✎ Educationliveactive

When will Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer be resolved?

Before 2030

market57¢
YES 57%NO 43%
24h volume
0
total volume
0
liquidity
$0
open interest
0

resolution

If Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture in its official Clay Mathematics Institute formulation is resolved before Jan 1, 2030 under the Payout Criterion and that resolution has not been retracted, withdrawn, repudiated, or rescinded prior to the Expiration time, then the market resolves to Yes.

closes Mon, 07 Jan 2030 15:00:00 GMT
Neohood Engine○ offline
engine call
PASS
fair 57% vs mkt 57%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%

Neohood Engine is offline, so this shows the market-implied probability only. Configure the engine to get a calibrated fair-value estimate and edge.

key drivers
  • Market-implied price
  • Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
  • No independent estimate available
Engine offline — showing market-implied prices only.
research, not financial advice · the Neohood Engine can be wrong · verify resolution terms before trading