$ Economicsliveactive
MacAskill–Moll AI growth challenge · Who will win?
At least 15%
YES 30%NO 70%
24h volume
0
total volume
115.09
liquidity
$0
open interest
64.55
resolution
If the highest percentage increase in U.S. real GDP per capita over its previous peak for Q3 2026 through Q4 2033 is at least 15%, then the market resolves to Yes.
closes Thu, 26 Jan 2034 13:29:00 GMT
engine call
PASS
fair 30% vs mkt 30%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%
Neohood Engine is offline, so this shows the market-implied probability only. Configure the engine to get a calibrated fair-value estimate and edge.
key drivers
- Market-implied price
- Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
- No independent estimate available
Engine offline — showing market-implied prices only.
research, not financial advice · the Neohood Engine can be wrong · verify resolution terms before trading