✎ Educationliveactive
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
Democratic by 91 to 130
YES 11%NO 89%
24h volume
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total volume
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liquidity
$0
open interest
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resolution
If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 91-130 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
closes Sun, 06 May 2029 15:00:00 GMT
engine call
PASS
fair 11% vs mkt 11%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%
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key drivers
- Market-implied price
- Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
- No independent estimate available
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