✎ Educationliveactive
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
Democratic by 61 to 90
YES 13%NO 87%
24h volume
0
total volume
378.78
liquidity
$0
open interest
378.78
resolution
If Democratic wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 61-90 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
closes Sun, 06 May 2029 15:00:00 GMT
engine call
PASS
fair 13% vs mkt 13%
edge +0.0pt · conf 20%
Neohood Engine is offline, so this shows the market-implied probability only. Configure the engine to get a calibrated fair-value estimate and edge.
key drivers
- Market-implied price
- Liquidity & volume
what would make it wrong
- No independent estimate available
Engine offline — showing market-implied prices only.
research, not financial advice · the Neohood Engine can be wrong · verify resolution terms before trading